One of the most popular questions asked by sports bettors is: “How do I ALWAYS win with Sports Betting?” The answer is incredibly simple: betting on huge favorites is a great way to pad your win/loss record, but it also means you aren’t taking advantage of the most important factor of sports betting tips free & tricks value. The goal of winning sports bets is to bet on a team that you think has the highest chance of winning.
One of the most effective ways to bet on sports is flat-betting, which is based on a fixed rate of return. Flat bets have a fixed value and are calculated as a percentage of a player’s bankroll. Flat-betting can save you from going broke by eliminating the damaging effects of biased betting. For example, a bettor who has a $1,000 bankroll places a bet on a game he loves by betting 10% on that team and 5% on a game he leans towards. If he wins his bets, he will be up $50.
Flat-betting works because it focuses on the size of the bet. While it is important to understand your favorite sport and the corresponding betting odds, it is equally important to know how much to bet per game. A flat bet, also known as “improved flat” or “modified flat”, is a strategy that requires you to understand a certain sport’s fundamentals and has proven to be successful for many bettors.
Predicting the outcome of games
The first step in predicting the outcome of games is to collect statistics for each game. Next, break down the game into segments, such as the first quarter and halftime. Based on this information, you can then place bets. For example, a game might have eight quarters, but you would bet on the underdog winning in the fourth quarter. By collecting this information, you will be able to predict the game’s total score.
Finding +EV bets
The foundational method of winning at sports betting is the ability to find +EV bets. Most casual bettors make poor wagers and overestimate their betting skills. In contrast, the sharps spend years analyzing hundreds of thousands of sporting events, employing the best algorithms and oddsmakers to find the best value. They’re able to win around 55% of their wagers with this method.
When identifying good value, consider which teams are popular and which ones are undervalued. Popular teams often have higher betting activity, resulting in inflated lines and a lower expected value. It’s a good idea to bet underdogs, as they often cover point spreads as favorites. But, beware of the craze for favorite teams – that’s not a good idea for long-term profitability.